December 11, 2019

Two Ways to Get Scientific Consensus

According to climate alarmists, their so-called science of global warming is “settled,” meaning they perceive any discussion or questioning of their conclusions as worthless due to an overwhelming consensus on “We’re All Gonna Die!”

Reading John Hinderaker’s post about “Science, Consensus and Polar Bears,” he tells of some of the writings of Dr. Mitchell Taylor – “Dr. Mitch Taylor was a member of the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG) as a polar bear scientist representing Canada for 28 years (1981-2008) but in 2009 he was booted out by chairman Andrew Derocher for his skeptical views on human-caused global warming. The group then changed their rules on membership to justify their actions.”

Taylor writes: “There are two ways to get a scientific consensus. One is to present the data and the analysis in a manner that is so persuasive that everyone is convinced. The other way is to exclude or marginalize anyone who does not agree. This occurs so commonly now that it has become an accepted practice. The practice of science has become secondary to governments, NGOs, journals, and scientists who feel that the ends justify the means.”

“The other way” is permanently etched into the fabric of American Society in everything we do, not just with polar bear science or Climate Change.

Yesterday I spoke of two writers both referring to America’s “Cultural Crisis” and both pointed out the cultural divide that exists – one calling it tribalism. In this context, as with reaching a “consensus” on Climate Change, never can evidence be presented that “is so persuasive that everyone gets it.” It is no longer considered. You are a traitor to your “tribe” if you consider other facts or theories. The design is to be loyal to your people, your caste, an avid member of your safe environment and echo-chamber that repeats only what you want to hear.

Claiming the consensus on things such as politics, religion, news stories, or Climate Change is the chickens way out, to put it nicely. In reality, it more accurately resembles the brat child who sticks his fingers in his ears so he can’t hear while making loud and senseless noises to overpower the parent trying to talk with him.

And, as you may guess, the science is settled on the consensus of settled science. There is no more discussion.

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Check Out Those Curves!

There are explanations of experiments you can do yourself folks, just read Zetetic Astronomy by Dr. Samuel Rowbatham. He has about 300 pages worth, done in the 1800s, which means they should be repeatable and easier to do with better equipment now. Prove the curvature to yourself.. Once you try that one you’re going to go hmmmmm…This is easy to figure out. No rocket scientist credentials are required..

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Every Religion including NASA Has An Earth

NASA- North American Scientism Association..

The atmosphere consists of GASES. Space is a VACUUM. Thus, “GRAVITY” supposedly does some really amazing things. It allegedly attaches GAS to the spinning ball, ignoring the vacuum of space, while holding the atmosphere to its rotating surface in a Velcro-like fashion, which allows massively heavy rain clouds to float and tiny bugs and pollen to freely fly through the air…as it bends water 8 inches per mile squared and keeps everything else from flying out into space. That’s some pretty wild, magical stuff right there when you really think about it. Good thing some occultist dude who got conked in the head in 1666 came up with this nonsense so we know how it works.—SKIBA

GRIN…

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The Mathematics of Genesis 1:1

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Detoxing Your Body Versus The Establishments “Disease Management”

How the enemy shoots at us and we don’t even know it’s happening…

 

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Widespread, long-term admixture between grey wolves and domestic dogs across Eurasia and its implications for the conservation status of hybrids

Abstract

Hybridisation between a domesticated species and its wild ancestor is an important conservation problem, especially if it results in the introgression of domestic gene variants into wild species. Nevertheless, the legal status of hybrids remains unregulated, partially because of the limited understanding of the hybridisation process and its consequences. The occurrence of hybridisation between grey wolves and domestic dogs is well documented from different parts of the wolf geographic range, but little is known about the frequency of hybridisation events, their causes and the genetic impact on wolf populations. We analysed 61K SNPs spanning the canid genome in wolves from across Eurasia and North America and compared that data to similar data from dogs to identify signatures of admixture. The haplotype block analysis, which included 38 autosomes and the X chromosome, indicated the presence of individuals of mixed wolf–dog ancestry in most Eurasian wolf populations, but less admixture was present in North American populations. We found evidence for male?biased introgression of dog alleles into wolf populations, but also identified a first?generation hybrid resulting from mating between a female dog and a male wolf. We found small blocks of dog ancestry in the genomes of 62% Eurasian wolves studied and melanistic individuals with no signs of recent admixed ancestry, but with a dog?derived allele at a locus linked to melanism. Consequently, these results suggest that hybridisation has been occurring in different parts of Eurasia on multiple timescales and is not solely a recent phenomenon. Nevertheless, wolf populations have maintained genetic differentiation from dogs, suggesting that hybridisation at a low frequency does not diminish distinctiveness of the wolf gene pool. However, increased hybridisation frequency may be detrimental for wolf populations, stressing the need for genetic monitoring to assess the frequency and distribution of individuals resulting from recent admixture.<<<Read More>>>

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Most Published SCIENCE Research Findings Are False

Do enjoy the read;

“Why Most Published Research Findings Are False John P. A. Ioannidis Abstract Summary There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance. Simulations show that for most study designs and settings, it is more likely for a research claim to be false than true. Moreover, for many current scientific fields, claimed research findings may often be simply accurate measures of the prevailing bias. In this essay, I discuss the implications of these problems for the conduct and interpretation of research. Published research findings are sometimes refuted by subsequent evidence, with ensuing confusion and disappointment. Refutation and controversy is seen across the range of research designs, from clinical trials and traditional epidemiological studies to the most modern molecular research. There is increasing concern that in modern research, false findings may be the majority or even the vast majority of published research claims. However, this should not be surprising. It can be proven that most claimed research findings are false. Here I will examine the key factors that influence this problem and some corollaries thereof. Go to: Modeling the Framework for False Positive Findings Several methodologists have pointed out that the high rate of nonreplication (lack of confirmation) of research discoveries is a consequence of the convenient, yet ill-founded strategy of claiming conclusive research findings solely on the basis of a single study assessed by formal statistical significance, typically for a p-value less than 0.05. Research is not most appropriately represented and summarized by p-values, but, unfortunately, there is a widespread notion that medical research articles should be interpreted based only on p-values. Research findings are defined here as any relationship reaching formal statistical significance, e.g., effective interventions, informative predictors, risk factors, or associations. *Negative* research is also very useful. *Negative* is actually a misnomer, and the misinterpretation is widespread. However, here we will target relationships that investigators claim exist, rather than null findings. It can be proven that most claimed research findings are false.”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1182327/ 
Also see:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis 

Scientists do lie a lot…

When Politics and Money come through the door the TRUTH goes out the window..

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Death Is The Only Way Out Of This Containment Facility Called Earth

Obviously some folks have been trying to get out of this place into someplace else outside of this place.. Perhaps someone that is here, was once on the other side and was forcefully removed from there to here for starting a rebellion..

 

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Book Review – “The Impact Of Science On Society”

By Bertrand Russell-1953 First Edition. The only way to accurately predict the future is to know that somebody intends to engineer it.. Falls right inline with the Iron Mountain Report, The First “Global” Revolution by The Club of Rome, Limits to Growth, The Origin Of Species, Our Global Neighborhood, Earth Summit Agenda 21{2100 conclusion date} And of course the United Nations “Environmental” Policies- Global Biodiversity Assessment.. Scientism is Eugenics on Steroids..

Pages 40-41

I think the subject which will be of most importance politically is mass psychology … Its importance has been enormously increased by the growth of modern methods of propaganda. Of these the most influential is what is called ‘education.’ Religion plays a part, though a diminishing one; the press, the cinema, and the radio play an increasing part … It may be hoped that in time anybody will be able to persuade anybody of anything if he can catch the patient young and is provided by the State with money and equipment.

The subject will make great strides when it is taken up by scientists under a scientific dictatorship … The social psychologists of the future will have a number of classes of school children on whom they will try different methods of producing an unshakable conviction that snow is black. Various results will soon be arrived at. First, that the influence of home is obstructive. Second, that not much can be done unless indoctrination begins before the age of ten. Third, that verses set to music and repeatedly intoned are very effective. Fourth, that the opinion that snow is white must be held to show a morbid taste for eccentricity. But I anticipate. It is for future scientists to make these maxims precise and discover exactly how much it costs per head to make children believe that snow is black, and how much less it would cost to make them believe it is dark gray.

Although this science will be diligently studied, it will be rigidly confined to the governing class. The populace will not be allowed to know how its convictions were generated. When the technique has been perfected, every government that has been in charge of education for a generation will be able to control its subjects securely without the need of armies or policemen.

Pages 49-50

Scientific societies are as yet in their infancy … It is to be expected that advances in physiology and psychology will give governments much more control over individual mentality than they now have even in totalitarian countries. Fitche laid it down that education should aim at destroying free will, so that, after pupils have left school, they shall be incapable, throughout the rest of their lives, of thinking or acting otherwise than as their schoolmasters would have wished … Diet, injections, and injunctions will combine, from a very early age, to produce the sort of character and the sort of beliefs that the authorities consider desirable, and any serious criticism of the powers that be will become psychologically impossible …

The Nazis were more scientific than the present rulers of Russia … If they had survived, they would probably have soon taken to scientific breeding. Any nation which adopts this practice will, within a generation, secure great military advantages. The system, one may surmise, will be something like this: except possibly in the governing aristocracy, all but 5 per cent of males and 30 per cent of females will be sterilised. The 30 per cent of females will be expected to spend the years from eighteen to forty in reproduction, in order to secure adequate cannon fodder. As a rule, artificial insemination will be preferred to the natural method …

Gradually, by selective breeding, the congenital differences between rulers and ruled will increase until they become almost different species. A revolt of the plebs would become as unthinkable as an organised insurrection of sheep against the practice of eating mutton.

Page 54

After all, most civilised and semi-civilised countries known to history and had a large class of slaves or serfs completely subordinate to their owners. There is nothing in human nature that makes the persistence of such a system impossible. And the whole development of scientific technique has made it easier than it used to be to maintain a despotic rule of a minority. When the government controls the distribution of food, its power is absolute so long as they can count on the police and the armed forces. And their loyalty can be secured by giving them some of the privileges of the governing class. I do not see how any internal movement of revolt can ever bring freedom to the oppressed in a modern scientific dictatorship.

Pages 103-104

I do not pretend that birth control is the only way in which population can be kept from increasing. There are others, which, one must suppose, opponents of birth control would prefer. War, as I remarked a moment ago, has hitherto been disappointing in this respect, but perhaps bacteriological war may prove more effective. If a Black Death could be spread throughout the world once in every generation survivors could procreate freely without making the world too full. There would be nothing in this to offend the consciences of the devout or to restrain the ambitions of nationalists. The state of affairs might be somewhat unpleasant, but what of that? Really high-minded people are indifferent to happiness, especially other people’s. However, I am wandering from the question of stability, to which I must return.

There are three ways of securing a society that shall be stable as regards population. The first is that of birth control, the second that of infanticide or really destructive wars, and the third that of general misery except for a powerful minority. All these methods have been practiced: the first, for example, by the Australian aborigines; the second by the Aztecs, the Spartans, and the rulers of Plato’s Republic; the third in the world as some Western internationalists hope to make it and in Soviet Russia … Of these three, only birth control avoids extreme cruelty and unhappiness for the majority of human beings. Meanwhile, so long as there is not a single world government there will be competition for power among the different nations. And as increase of population brings the threat of famine, national power will become more and more obviously the only way of avoiding starvation. There will therefore be blocs in which the hungry nations band together against those that are well fed. That is the explanation of the victory of communism in China.

Page 105

The need for a world government, if the population problem is to be solved in any humane manner, is completely evident on Darwinian principles.

Page 110

A society is not stable unless it is on the whole satisfactory to the holders of power and the holders of power are not exposed to the risk of successful revolution.

Pages 110-111

First, as regards physical conditions. Soil and raw materials must not be used up so fast that scientific progress cannot continually make good the loss by means of new inventions and discoveries … If raw materials are not to be used up too fast, there must not be free competition for their acquisition and use but an international authority to ration them in – such quantities as may from time to time seem compatible with continued industrial prosperity. And similar considerations apply to soil conservation.

Second, as regards population … To deal with this problem it will be necessary to find ways of preventing an increase in world population. If this is to be done otherwise than by wars, pestilences, and famines, it will demand a powerful international authority. This authority should deal out the world’s food to the various nations in proportion to their population at the time of the establishment of the authority. If any nation subsequently increased its population it should not on that account receive any more food. The motive for not increasing population would therefore be very compelling.

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Appeals to Emotions, Hormones And Controlled Thoughts

A wide range of scientific possibilities when it comes to messing about with folks thinking, and of course appeals to emotions.. Yep, I read this stuff too.. It’s fascinating.. They put it all out in plain sight and nobody wonders and nobody cares.. Besides looking up folks ought to be looking things up. But shucks, nobody would want to mind control everyone using these methods.. Just because the scientific possibility exists to do it doesn’t mean anyone would be doing it… Who would ever be so evil as to teach people what to think and destroy their capacity to think with lies backed up by endocrine physiology using drugs to mess with the psyche of say entire societies.. Who’d be so nefarious that they’d chemically alter people into being comfortably numb.. Maybe even causing a boy to have girlish emotions and girls to have boyish emotions.. They could do all kinds of science with this science.. They could get people to believe anything..

“The field of basic endocrine physiology has advanced considerably since Martin’s earlier Textbook of Endocrine Physiology was published, and the 95% new material in this volume reflects how the entire concept of the nature and function of hormones has changed. The book takes a biochemical approach to vertebrate and particularly human endocrine physiology, and emphasizes methods of hormone action.”

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